Course modules: 2200-E18;Econometrics II

Information About the Course

Information About the Course Information About the Course

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Information About the Course Information About the Course 1

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Schedule Schedule 2

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 3

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OxMetrics

OxMetrics OxMetrics

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Install OxMetrics Install OxMetrics 1

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OxMetrics Program to Print Model Results in Latex Tables OxMetrics Program to Print Model Results in Latex Tables 2

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Sep. 4 | Theoretical Exercise 1: Introduction to the Course and Economic Time Series

Sep. 4 | Theoretical Exercise 1: Introduction to the Course and Economic Time Series Sep. 4 | Theoretical Exercise 1: Introduction to the Course and Economic Time Series

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Preparations 1

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Information About the Course Information About the Course 2

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Download and Print Problem Set #1 Download and Print Problem Set #1 3

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Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities and Resources 5

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Exercise Class 1: In-Class Activities and Resources Exercise Class 1: In-Class Activities and Resources 6

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Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity

Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity

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Readings: Lecture Note 1, An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity, pages 1-13 (13 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 1, An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity, pages 1-13 (13 pages) 3

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Video: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity (10 minutes) Video: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity (10 minutes) 4

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Review Slides: 01A An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity Review Slides: 01A An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity 5

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Quiz

Review Quiz 1-01: Time Series and Stationarity (8 questions) Review Quiz 1-01: Time Series and Stationarity (8 questions) 6

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Discussion topic

Questions for Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity Questions for Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity 7

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Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities and Resources 8

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Attachment

01A Introduction to Economic Time Series (Annotated).pdf 01A Introduction to Economic Time Series (Annotated).pdf 9

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Sep. 6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression with Stationary Time Series

Sep. 6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression with Stationary Time Series Sep. 6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression with Stationary Time Series

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Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 1-8 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 1-8 (8 pages) 2

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Video: The Linear Regression Model and the Method of Moments Estimator (10 minutes) Video: The Linear Regression Model and the Method of Moments Estimator (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 4-9 (5 slides) Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 4-9 (5 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 1-02: The Linear Regression Model and the Method of Moments Estimator (9 questions) Review Quiz 1-02: The Linear Regression Model and the Method of Moments Estimator (9 questions) 5

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Discussion topic

Questions for Sep.6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression for Time Series and the Method of Moments (MM) Estimator Questions for Sep.6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression for Time Series and the Method of Moments (MM) Estimator 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 8

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Sep. 11 | Empirical Exercise 2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption

Sep. 11 | Empirical Exercise 2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Sep. 11 | Empirical Exercise 2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption

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Install OxMetrics Install OxMetrics 2

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Resources and In-Class Activities 3

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Empirical Exercise 1.2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Empirical Exercise 1.2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption 4

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 1 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 1 5

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 2 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 2 6

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 3 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 3 7

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 4 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 4 8

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 5 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 5 9

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 6 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 6 10

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Video: Loading, transforming, and Plotting Data in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: Loading, transforming, and Plotting Data in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 11

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Video: Estimating a Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: Estimating a Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 12

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Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator

Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator

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Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 5-15 (10 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 5-15 (10 pages) 2

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Video: Properties of the MM Estimator in the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series (10 minutes) Video: Properties of the MM Estimator in the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 10-22 (13 slides) Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 10-22 (13 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 1-03: Properties of the MM Estimator in the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series (8 questions) Review Quiz 1-03: Properties of the MM Estimator in the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series (8 questions) 5

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Discussion topic

Questions for Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator Questions for Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 8

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Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing

Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing

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Preparations 1

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Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 15-22 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, pages 15-22 (8 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 23-39 (17 slides) Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 23-39 (17 slides) 3

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Review Quiz 1-04: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing (11 questions) Review Quiz 1-04: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing (11 questions) 4

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Questions for Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing Questions for Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing 5

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In-Class Activities and Resources 6

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01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 7

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Sep. 18 | Empirical Exercise 3: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Copy

Sep. 18 | Empirical Exercise 3: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Copy Sep. 18 | Empirical Exercise 3: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Copy

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Empirical Exercise 1.2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Empirical Exercise 1.2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption 3

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 7 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 7 4

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 8 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 8 5

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 9 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 9 6

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 10 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 10 7

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 11 Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 11 8

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 12 (optional) Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Question 12 (optional) 9

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Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Feedback Empirical Exercise 1.2 - Feedback 10

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Video: Loading, transforming, and Plotting Data in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: Loading, transforming, and Plotting Data in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 11

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Video: Estimating a Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: Estimating a Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 12

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Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness and Tips for Writing

Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness and Tips for Writing Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness and Tips for Writing

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Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, sections 4-6, pages 12-22 (11 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 2, Linear Regression with Time Series, sections 4-6, pages 12-22 (11 pages) 1

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Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 23-39 (17 slides)-2 Review Slides: 01B Linear Regression with Time Series, slides 23-39 (17 slides)-2 2

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Questions for Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness Questions for Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness 3

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In-Class Activities and Resources 4

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 5

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Tips for Writing.pdf Tips for Writing.pdf 6

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Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf 7

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01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 8

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Sep. 20 | Lecture 6: Review of the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series

Sep. 20 | Lecture 6: Review of the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series Sep. 20 | Lecture 6: Review of the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series

Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities and Resources 1

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01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 01B Linear Regression with Time Series Data (Annotated).pdf 2

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Sep. 22 | Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth

Sep. 22 | Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth Sep. 22 | Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth

Assignment

Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth 1

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 2

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Tips for Writing.pdf Tips for Writing.pdf 3

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Questions for Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth Questions for Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth 4

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General Feedback on Assignment 1.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 1.pdf 5

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General Feedback on Assignment 1 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 1 (Annotated).pdf 6

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Sep. 25 | Theoretical Exercise 4: The First-Order Moving Average and Autoregressive Models

Sep. 25 | Theoretical Exercise 4: The First-Order Moving Average and Autoregressive Models Sep. 25 | Theoretical Exercise 4: The First-Order Moving Average and Autoregressive Models

Complete all items

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Download and Print Problem Set #2 Download and Print Problem Set #2 2

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In-Class Activities and Resources 3

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Solution Guide - Exercise 2.1 and 2.2.pdf Solution Guide - Exercise 2.1 and 2.2.pdf 4

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Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models

Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models

Complete all items

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Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 1-3.1, pages 1-8 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 1-3.1, pages 1-8 (8 pages) 2

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Video: The MA(q) Model (10 minutes) Video: The MA(q) Model (10 minutes) 3

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Video: The AR(1) Model (17 minutes) Video: The AR(1) Model (17 minutes) 4

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Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 2-3, slides 5-17 (13 slides) Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 2-3, slides 5-17 (13 slides) 5

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-01: The MA(q) Model Review Quiz 2-01: The MA(q) Model 6

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-02: The AR(1) Model Review Quiz 2-02: The AR(1) Model 7

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Discussion topic

Questions for Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models Questions for Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models 8

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In-Class Activities and Resources 9

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02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series (Annotated).pdf 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series (Annotated).pdf 10

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Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model and General Feedback on Assignment 1

Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model and General Feedback on Assignment 1 Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model and General Feedback on Assignment 1

Complete all items

Context Module Subheader

Preparations 1

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Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 3.2-3.3, pages 8-13 (6 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 3.2-3.3, pages 8-13 (6 pages) 2

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Video: The AR(p) Model (9 minutes) Video: The AR(p) Model (9 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 4-5, slides 18-28 (11 slides) Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 4-5, slides 18-28 (11 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-03: The AR(p) Model Review Quiz 2-03: The AR(p) Model 5

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Discussion topic

Questions for Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model Questions for Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series (Annotated).pdf 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series (Annotated).pdf 8

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General Feedback on Assignment 1.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 1.pdf 9

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General Feedback on Assignment 1 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 1 (Annotated).pdf 10

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Oct. 2 | Empirical Exercise 5: Dynamic Models for Danish Time Series

Oct. 2 | Empirical Exercise 5: Dynamic Models for Danish Time Series Oct. 2 | Empirical Exercise 5: Dynamic Models for Danish Time Series

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Resources 1

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Video: Estimation of Univariate Autoregressive (AR) Models in OxMetrics (10 min) Video: Estimation of Univariate Autoregressive (AR) Models in OxMetrics (10 min) 2

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Video: Estimation of ARMA Models in OxMetrics (10 min) Video: Estimation of ARMA Models in OxMetrics (10 min) 3

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Video: Forecasting Based on Univariate Autoregressive Models in OxMetrics (8 min) Video: Forecasting Based on Univariate Autoregressive Models in OxMetrics (8 min) 4

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In-Class Activities 5

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Empirical Exercise 2.3: ARIMA Models for Danish Macro Time Series Empirical Exercise 2.3: ARIMA Models for Danish Macro Time Series 6

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Oct. 3 | Lecture 9: Model Selection and Forecasting with Dynamic Models

Oct. 3 | Lecture 9: Model Selection and Forecasting with Dynamic Models Oct. 3 | Lecture 9: Model Selection and Forecasting with Dynamic Models

Complete all items

Page

Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 4.1-5, p. 15-20 (6 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 4.1-5, p. 15-20 (6 pages) 2

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Video: Model Selection in ARMA Models (10 min) Video: Model Selection in ARMA Models (10 min) 3

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Video: Forecasting with a Stationary AR(1) Model (10 min) Video: Forecasting with a Stationary AR(1) Model (10 min) 4

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Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 7-8, slides 34-44 (11 slides) Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, sections 7-8, slides 34-44 (11 slides) 5

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-04: Model Selection in ARMA Models (4 Questions) Review Quiz 2-04: Model Selection in ARMA Models (4 Questions) 6

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-05: Forecasting with a Stationary AR(1) Model (4 Questions) Review Quiz 2-05: Forecasting with a Stationary AR(1) Model (4 Questions) 7

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In-Class Activities and Resources 8

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CharacteristicRoots.ox CharacteristicRoots.ox 9

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Oct. 4 | Lecture 10: Estimation of Dynamic Models

Oct. 4 | Lecture 10: Estimation of Dynamic Models Oct. 4 | Lecture 10: Estimation of Dynamic Models

Complete all items

Page

Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 4, p. 13-14, and Verbeek, sections 6-6.1.4, p. 187-197, and section 8.6 (15 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 4, sections 4, p. 13-14, and Verbeek, sections 6-6.1.4, p. 187-197, and section 8.6 (15 pages) 1

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Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, section 6, slides 29-33 (5 slides) Review Slides: 02 Dynamic Models for Stationary Time Series, section 6, slides 29-33 (5 slides) 2

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Video: OLS Estimation in the AR(1) Model Video: OLS Estimation in the AR(1) Model 3

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Video: Maximum Likelihood Estimation in the AR(1) Model Video: Maximum Likelihood Estimation in the AR(1) Model 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 2-06: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARMA Models Review Quiz 2-06: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARMA Models 5

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In-Class Activities and Resources 6

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Solution Guide - Exercise 2.4.pdf Solution Guide - Exercise 2.4.pdf 7

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Oct. 6 | Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth

Oct. 6 | Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth Oct. 6 | Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth

Assignment

Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth 1

assignment 628078 1

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 2

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Tips for Writing.pdf Tips for Writing.pdf 3

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Discussion topic

Questions for Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth Questions for Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth 4

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Oct. 9 | Theoretical Exercise 6: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

Oct. 9 | Theoretical Exercise 6: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models Oct. 9 | Theoretical Exercise 6: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

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Download and Print Problem Set 3A Download and Print Problem Set 3A 2

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In-Class Activities and Resources 3

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Problem Set 3A - Solution Guide.pdf Problem Set 3A - Solution Guide.pdf 4

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Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

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Readings: Lecture Note 5, sections 1-3, pages 1-11 (11 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 5, sections 1-3, pages 1-11 (11 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 03A Non-Stationarity and Unit Root Testing, sections 1-2, slides 1-16 (16 slides) Review Slides: 03A Non-Stationarity and Unit Root Testing, sections 1-2, slides 1-16 (16 slides) 3

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Video: The Moving-Average Representation for an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (9 minutes) Video: The Moving-Average Representation for an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (9 minutes) 4

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Video: Properties of an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (10 minutes) Video: Properties of an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (10 minutes) 5

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Review Quiz 3-01: The MA Representation for an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (7 questions) Review Quiz 3-01: The MA Representation for an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (7 questions) 6

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Review Quiz 3-02: Properties of an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (4 questions) Review Quiz 3-02: Properties of an AR(1) Process with a Unit Root (4 questions) 7

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Questions for Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models Questions for Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models 8

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In-Class Activities and Resources 9

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03A Non-stationarity and Unit Root Testing (Annotated).pdf 03A Non-stationarity and Unit Root Testing (Annotated).pdf 10

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Consistency in AR1 model illustration.ox Consistency in AR1 model illustration.ox 11

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Unit Root Asymptotics.ox Unit Root Asymptotics.ox 12

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Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing

Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing

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Readings: Lecture Note 5, sections 4-6, pages 11-21 (10 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 5, sections 4-6, pages 11-21 (10 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 03A Non-Stationarity and Unit Root Testing, sections 3-4, slides 17-35 (18 slides) Review Slides: 03A Non-Stationarity and Unit Root Testing, sections 3-4, slides 17-35 (18 slides) 3

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Video: The Dickey-Fuller (DF) Unit Root Test in an AR(1) Model (8 minutes) Video: The Dickey-Fuller (DF) Unit Root Test in an AR(1) Model (8 minutes) 4

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Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) Unit Root Test in an AR(p) Model (9 minutes) Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) Unit Root Test in an AR(p) Model (9 minutes) 5

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Review Quiz 3-03: The Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test in an AR(1) Model (6 questions) Review Quiz 3-03: The Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test in an AR(1) Model (6 questions) 6

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Quiz

Review Quiz 3-04: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test in an AR(p) Model (5 questions) Review Quiz 3-04: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root Test in an AR(p) Model (5 questions) 7

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Questions for Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing Questions for Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing 8

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In-Class Activities and Resources 9

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03A Non-stationarity and Unit Root Testing (Annotated).pdf 03A Non-stationarity and Unit Root Testing (Annotated).pdf 10

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General Feedback on Assignment 2.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 2.pdf 11

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General Feedback on Assignment 2 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 2 (Annotated).pdf 12

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Oct. 23 | Empirical Exercise 7: Unit Roots in Danish Macro Series

Oct. 23 | Empirical Exercise 7: Unit Roots in Danish Macro Series Oct. 23 | Empirical Exercise 7: Unit Roots in Danish Macro Series

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Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Test in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Test in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 2

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In-Class Activities 3

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Empirical Exercise 3.4: Unit Roots in Danish Macro-Variables Empirical Exercise 3.4: Unit Roots in Danish Macro-Variables 4

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Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration

Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration

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Readings: Lecture Note 6, section 1, pages 1-10 (10 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 6, section 1, pages 1-10 (10 pages) 2

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Video: An Introduction to Cointegration (9 minutes) Video: An Introduction to Cointegration (9 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 1-2, slides 4-17 (14 slides) Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 1-2, slides 4-17 (14 slides) 4

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Review Quiz 3-05: Cointegration (7 Questions) Review Quiz 3-05: Cointegration (7 Questions) 5

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Questions for Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration Questions for Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 8

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Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses

Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses

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Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 2-3, pages 10-27 (17 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 2-3, pages 10-27 (17 pages) 2

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Video: An Outline of the Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis (9 minutes) Video: An Outline of the Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis (9 minutes) 3

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Video: An Outline of Cointegration Analysis Based on a ADL/ECM Model (9 minutes) Video: An Outline of Cointegration Analysis Based on a ADL/ECM Model (9 minutes) 4

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Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 3 and 5, slides 18-26 and 32-41 (19 slides) Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 3 and 5, slides 18-26 and 32-41 (19 slides) 5

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Review Quiz 3-06: The Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis (7 Questions) Review Quiz 3-06: The Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis (7 Questions) 6

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Review Quiz 3-07: Cointegration Analysis Based on the ADL and ECM Models (6 Questions) Review Quiz 3-07: Cointegration Analysis Based on the ADL and ECM Models (6 Questions) 7

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Questions for Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses Questions for Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses 8

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In-Class Activities and Resources 9

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03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 10

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Oct. 30 | Empirical Exercise 8: A Cointegration Analysis for Danish Consumption

Oct. 30 | Empirical Exercise 8: A Cointegration Analysis for Danish Consumption Oct. 30 | Empirical Exercise 8: A Cointegration Analysis for Danish Consumption

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Empirical Exercise 3.6 - Question 1 Empirical Exercise 3.6 - Question 1 2

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Empirical Exercise 3.7 - Question 1 Empirical Exercise 3.7 - Question 1 3

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Resources 4

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Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Test in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Test in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 5

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Video: The Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: The Engle-Granger Two-Step Cointegration Analysis in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 6

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Video: Single-Equation Cointegration Analysis Based on the ADL-ECM Model in OxMetrics (10 minutes) Video: Single-Equation Cointegration Analysis Based on the ADL-ECM Model in OxMetrics (10 minutes) 7

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In-Class Activities 8

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Empirical Exercises 3.6 and 3.7: Cointegration Analyses of Danish Consumption Empirical Exercises 3.6 and 3.7: Cointegration Analyses of Danish Consumption 9

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Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches

Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches

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Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 2-4, pages 10-28 (18 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 2-4, pages 10-28 (18 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 4 and 6-7, slides 27-31 and 42-51 (15 slides) Review Slides: 03B Cointegration, sections 4 and 6-7, slides 27-31 and 42-51 (15 slides) 3

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Questions for Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches Questions for Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches 4

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In-Class Activities and Resources 5

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03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 6

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Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model

Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model

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Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 4-5, pages 27-31 (5 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 6, sections 4-5, pages 27-31 (5 pages) 2

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Video: An Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model (9 minutes) Video: An Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model (9 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 03C VAR Models, sections 1-4, slides 1-16 (16 slides) Review Slides: 03C VAR Models, sections 1-4, slides 1-16 (16 slides) 4

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Questions for Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model Questions for Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model 5

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In-Class Activities and Resources 6

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03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 03B Cointegration (Annotated).pdf 7

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03C VAR Models (Annotated).pdf 03C VAR Models (Annotated).pdf 8

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Nov. 3 | Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption

Nov. 3 | Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption Nov. 3 | Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption

Assignment

Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption 1

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 2

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Tips for Writing.pdf Tips for Writing.pdf 3

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Questions for Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption Questions for Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption 4

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Nov. 6 | Theoretical Exercise 9: The ARCH Model

Nov. 6 | Theoretical Exercise 9: The ARCH Model Nov. 6 | Theoretical Exercise 9: The ARCH Model

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Download and Print Problem Set 4 Download and Print Problem Set 4 2

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In-Class Activities and Resources 3

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Exercises 4.1 and 4.2 - Solution Guide.pdf Exercises 4.1 and 4.2 - Solution Guide.pdf 4

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Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model

Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model

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Readings: Lecture Note 7, Sections 1-3, p. 1-8 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 7, Sections 1-3, p. 1-8 (8 pages) 2

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Video: An Introduction to ARCH Models (10 minutes) Video: An Introduction to ARCH Models (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Section 2, slides 7-13 (7 slides) Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Section 2, slides 7-13 (7 slides) 4

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Review Quiz 4-01: The ARCH Model (8 questions) Review Quiz 4-01: The ARCH Model (8 questions) 5

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Questions for Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model Questions for Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model 6

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04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 8

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Engle (2003) - Risk and Volatility - Econometric Models and Financial Practice.pdf Engle (2003) - Risk and Volatility - Econometric Models and Financial Practice.pdf 9

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Stock.bn7 Stock.bn7 11

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Nov. 8 | Lecture 18: The GARCH Model and General Feedback on Assignment 3

Nov. 8 | Lecture 18: The GARCH Model and General Feedback on Assignment 3 Nov. 8 | Lecture 18: The GARCH Model and General Feedback on Assignment 3

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Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 4 and Box 1, p. 8-12 (5 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 4 and Box 1, p. 8-12 (5 pages) 2

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Video: An Introduction to GARCH Models (10 minutes) Video: An Introduction to GARCH Models (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Section 6, slides 24-30 (7 slides) Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Section 6, slides 24-30 (7 slides) 4

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Review Quiz 4-02: The GARCH Model (5 questions) Review Quiz 4-02: The GARCH Model (5 questions) 5

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Questions for Nov. 8 | Lecture 18: The GARCH Model Questions for Nov. 8 | Lecture 18: The GARCH Model 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 8

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General Feedback on Assignment 3.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 3.pdf 9

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General Feedback on Assignment 3 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 3 (Annotated).pdf 10

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Nov. 13 | Empirical Exercise 10: GARCH Model for Returns on the KFX Index

Nov. 13 | Empirical Exercise 10: GARCH Model for Returns on the KFX Index Nov. 13 | Empirical Exercise 10: GARCH Model for Returns on the KFX Index

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Video: Estimation of GARCH Models in OxMetrics (9 minutes) Video: Estimation of GARCH Models in OxMetrics (9 minutes) 2

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In-Class Activities 3

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Empirical Exercise 4.3: GARCH Model for Returns on the Danish Stock Market Index Empirical Exercise 4.3: GARCH Model for Returns on the Danish Stock Market Index 4

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Nov. 14 | Lecture 19: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH Models

Nov. 14 | Lecture 19: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH Models Nov. 14 | Lecture 19: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH Models

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Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 3.2, p. 7 (1 page) Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 3.2, p. 7 (1 page) 2

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Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Sections 5 and 8-9, slides 20-23 and 37-49 (17 slides) Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Sections 5 and 8-9, slides 20-23 and 37-49 (17 slides) 3

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Questions for Nov. 14 | Lecture 19: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH Models Questions for Nov. 14 | Lecture 19: Maximum Likelihood Estimation of ARCH Models 4

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In-Class Activities and Resources 5

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04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 6

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Nov. 15 | Lecture 20: GARCH Extensions, Forecasting Volatility, and Review of ARCH Models

Nov. 15 | Lecture 20: GARCH Extensions, Forecasting Volatility, and Review of ARCH Models Nov. 15 | Lecture 20: GARCH Extensions, Forecasting Volatility, and Review of ARCH Models

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Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 4.1-6, p. 9-16 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 7, Section 4.1-6, p. 9-16 (8 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Sections 6-7, slides 29-36 (8 slides) Review Slides: 04 ARCH, Sections 6-7, slides 29-36 (8 slides) 3

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Review Quiz 4-03: Extensions of the GARCH Model (4 questions) Review Quiz 4-03: Extensions of the GARCH Model (4 questions) 4

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Questions for Nov. 15 | Lecture 20: GARCH Extensions, Forecasting Volatility, and Review of ARCH Models Questions for Nov. 15 | Lecture 20: GARCH Extensions, Forecasting Volatility, and Review of ARCH Models 5

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In-Class Activities and Resources 6

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04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 04 ARCH (Annotated).pdf 7

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Nov. 17 | Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns

Nov. 17 | Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns Nov. 17 | Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns

Assignment

Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns 1

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Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 2

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Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf 3

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Questions for Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns Questions for Assignment 4: Surprise Trading Volume and Heteroskedasticity in Equity Market Returns 4

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Nov. 20 | Theoretical Exercise 11: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule

Nov. 20 | Theoretical Exercise 11: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule Nov. 20 | Theoretical Exercise 11: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule

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Download and Print Problem Set #5 Download and Print Problem Set #5 2

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In-Class Activities and Resources 4

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Exercise 5.1 - Solution Guide.pdf Exercise 5.1 - Solution Guide.pdf 5

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Nov. 21 | Lecture 21: Generalized Method of Moments

Nov. 21 | Lecture 21: Generalized Method of Moments Nov. 21 | Lecture 21: Generalized Method of Moments

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Readings: Lecture Note 8, Sections 1-2.2, p. 1-8 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, Sections 1-2.2, p. 1-8 (8 pages) 2

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Video: An Introduction to the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) (10 minutes) Video: An Introduction to the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 2-4, slides 7-21 (15 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 2-4, slides 7-21 (15 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 5-01: Moment Conditions and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) (8 Questions) Review Quiz 5-01: Moment Conditions and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) (8 Questions) 6

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Questions for Nov. 21 | Lecture 21: Generalized Method of Moments Questions for Nov. 21 | Lecture 21: Generalized Method of Moments 7

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In-Class Activities and Resources 8

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05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 9

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Nov. 22 | Lecture 22: Properties of the Generalized Method of Moments Estimator

Nov. 22 | Lecture 22: Properties of the Generalized Method of Moments Estimator Nov. 22 | Lecture 22: Properties of the Generalized Method of Moments Estimator

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Readings: Lecture Note 8, Section 2.3 including Box 1, p. 8-11 (4 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, Section 2.3 including Box 1, p. 8-11 (4 pages) 2

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Video: Consistency and Asymptotic Normality of the GMM Estimator (10 minutes) Video: Consistency and Asymptotic Normality of the GMM Estimator (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 05 GMM, Section 6, slides 31-33 (3 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Section 6, slides 31-33 (3 slides) 5

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Quiz

Review Quiz 5-02: Asymptotic Properties of the GMM Estimator (6 Questions) Review Quiz 5-02: Asymptotic Properties of the GMM Estimator (6 Questions) 7

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Questions for Nov. 22 | Lecture 22: Properties of the GMM Estimator Questions for Nov. 22 | Lecture 22: Properties of the GMM Estimator 8

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In-Class Activities and Resources 9

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05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 10

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General Feedback on Assignment 4.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 4.pdf 11

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General Feedback on Assignment 4 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 4 (Annotated).pdf 12

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Nov. 27 | Theoretical Exercise 12: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model

Nov. 27 | Theoretical Exercise 12: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model Nov. 27 | Theoretical Exercise 12: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model

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Download and Print Problem Set #5-3 Download and Print Problem Set #5-3 2

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In-Class Activities and Resources 4

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Exercise 5.3 - Solution Guide.pdf Exercise 5.3 - Solution Guide.pdf 5

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Nov. 28 | Lecture 23: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation

Nov. 28 | Lecture 23: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation Nov. 28 | Lecture 23: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation

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Readings: Lecture Note 8, Sections 2.4-2.5, p. 10-16 (7 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, Sections 2.4-2.5, p. 10-16 (7 pages) 2

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Video: The Efficient Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) Estimator (10 minutes) Video: The Efficient Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) Estimator (10 minutes) 3

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Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 7-8, slides 34-43 (10 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 7-8, slides 34-43 (10 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 5-03: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation (5 Questions) Review Quiz 5-03: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation (5 Questions) 5

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Questions for Nov. 28 | Lecture 23: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation Questions for Nov. 28 | Lecture 23: Efficient GMM and Weight Matrix Estimation 6

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In-Class Activities and Resources 7

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05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 8

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Nov. 29 | Lecture 24: Empirical Examples of GMM Estimation

Nov. 29 | Lecture 24: Empirical Examples of GMM Estimation Nov. 29 | Lecture 24: Empirical Examples of GMM Estimation

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Readings: Lecture Note 8, section 4, p. 19-32 (14 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, section 4, p. 19-32 (14 pages) 2

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Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 5 and 10, slides 22-30 and 46-52 (16 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 5 and 10, slides 22-30 and 46-52 (16 slides) 4

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Quiz

Review Quiz 5-04: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule and the Consumption CAPM Model (7 Questions) Review Quiz 5-04: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule and the Consumption CAPM Model (7 Questions) 6

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Questions for Nov. 29 | Lecture 24: Empirical Examples of GMM Estimation Questions for Nov. 29 | Lecture 24: Empirical Examples of GMM Estimation 7

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In-Class Activities and Resources 8

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05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 9

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MonetaryPolicyData.xls MonetaryPolicyData.xls 10

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Dec. 4 | Empirical Exercise 13: GMM Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules for US

Dec. 4 | Empirical Exercise 13: GMM Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules for US Dec. 4 | Empirical Exercise 13: GMM Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules for US

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Empirical Exercise 5.2: Monetary Policy Rules for the US Empirical Exercise 5.2: Monetary Policy Rules for the US 2

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Dec. 5 | Lecture 25: GMM Estimation of the Consumption CAPM Model and the GMM Estimator in a Linear Model

Dec. 5 | Lecture 25: GMM Estimation of the Consumption CAPM Model and the GMM Estimator in a Linear Model Dec. 5 | Lecture 25: GMM Estimation of the Consumption CAPM Model and the GMM Estimator in a Linear Model

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Readings: Lecture Note 8, sections 3.1.1-3.1.2 and 4.4, p. 17-19 and 28-32 (8 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, sections 3.1.1-3.1.2 and 4.4, p. 17-19 and 28-32 (8 pages) 2

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Page

Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 10 and 11, slides 46-57 (12 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 10 and 11, slides 46-57 (12 slides) 3

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Quiz

Review Quiz 5-04: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule and the Consumption CAPM Model (7 Questions) Review Quiz 5-04: GMM Estimation of a Taylor Rule and the Consumption CAPM Model (7 Questions) 4

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Discussion topic

Questions for Dec. 5 | Lecture 25: GMM Estimation of the Consumption CAPM and the GMM Estimator in a Linear Model Questions for Dec. 5 | Lecture 25: GMM Estimation of the Consumption CAPM and the GMM Estimator in a Linear Model 5

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Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities 6

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Attachment

05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 7

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Attachment

hs.xls hs.xls 8

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Dec. 6 | Lecture 26: The GMM Estimator in a Linear Model and Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Dec. 6 | Lecture 26: The GMM Estimator in a Linear Model and Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation Dec. 6 | Lecture 26: The GMM Estimator in a Linear Model and Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Context Module Subheader

Preparations 1

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Page

Readings: Lecture Note 8, Box 2 and section 3, p. 12 and 16-19 (5 pages) Readings: Lecture Note 8, Box 2 and section 3, p. 12 and 16-19 (5 pages) 2

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Page

Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 11-12, slides 53-68 (16 slides) Review Slides: 05 GMM, Sections 11-12, slides 53-68 (16 slides) 3

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Discussion topic

Questions for Dec. 6 | Lecture 26: GMM Estimator in a Linear Model Questions for Dec. 6 | Lecture 26: GMM Estimator in a Linear Model 4

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Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities 5

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05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 05 GMM (Annotated).pdf 6

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Dec. 8 | Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility

Dec. 8 | Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility Dec. 8 | Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility

Assignment

Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility 1

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Attachment

Assessment Criteria.pdf Assessment Criteria.pdf 2

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Attachment

Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf Tips for Writing (Annotated).pdf 3

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Discussion topic

Questions for Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility Questions for Assignment 5: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility 4

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Dec. 11 | Theoretical Exercises 14: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model

Dec. 11 | Theoretical Exercises 14: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model Dec. 11 | Theoretical Exercises 14: GMM Estimation in a Linear Model

Context Module Subheader

Preparations 1

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Page

Download and Print Problem Set #5 Download and Print Problem Set #5 2

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Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities and Resources 3

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Attachment

Exercise 5.3 - Solution Guide.pdf Exercise 5.3 - Solution Guide.pdf 4

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Dec. 12 | Lecture 27: CANCELED

Dec. 12 | Lecture 27: CANCELED Dec. 12 | Lecture 27: CANCELED

Dec. 13: Lecture 28: General Feedback on Assignment 5

Dec. 13: Lecture 28: General Feedback on Assignment 5 Dec. 13: Lecture 28: General Feedback on Assignment 5

Context Module Subheader

In-Class Activities and Resources 1

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Discussion topic

Questions for Final Q&A Questions for Final Q&A 2

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Attachment

General Feedback on Assignment 5.pdf General Feedback on Assignment 5.pdf 3

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Attachment

General Feedback on Assignment 5 (Annotated).pdf General Feedback on Assignment 5 (Annotated).pdf 4

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Course modules

Information About the Course

OxMetrics

Sep. 4 | Theoretical Exercise 1: Introduction to the Course and Economic Time Series

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 5

Sep. 5 | Lecture 1: An Introduction to Time Series and Stationarity

Preparations 2

In-Class Activities and Resources 8

Sep. 6 | Lecture 2: Linear Regression with Stationary Time Series

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 7

Sep. 11 | Empirical Exercise 2: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption

Preparations 1

Resources and In-Class Activities 3

Sep. 12 | Lecture 3: Properties of the Method of Moments Estimator

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 7

Sep. 13 | Lecture 4: Model Specification and Misspecification Testing

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 6

Sep. 18 | Empirical Exercise 3: Time Series Regression for Private Consumption Copy

Resources and In-Class Activities 2

Sep. 19 | Lecture 5: Review of Model Selection, Misspecification Testing, and Dynamic Completeness and Tips for Writing

In-Class Activities and Resources 4

Sep. 20 | Lecture 6: Review of the Linear Regression Model for Stationary Time Series

In-Class Activities and Resources 1

Sep. 22 | Assignment 1: Nominal Wage Growth

Sep. 25 | Theoretical Exercise 4: The First-Order Moving Average and Autoregressive Models

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 3

Sep. 26 | Lecture 7: The MA(q) and AR(1) Models

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 9

Sep. 27 | Lecture 8: The AR(p) Model and General Feedback on Assignment 1

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 7

Oct. 2 | Empirical Exercise 5: Dynamic Models for Danish Time Series

Resources 1

In-Class Activities 5

Oct. 3 | Lecture 9: Model Selection and Forecasting with Dynamic Models

In-Class Activities and Resources 8

Oct. 4 | Lecture 10: Estimation of Dynamic Models

In-Class Activities and Resources 6

Oct. 6 | Assignment 2: Forecasting GDP Growth

Oct. 9 | Theoretical Exercise 6: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 3

Oct. 10 | Lecture 11: Unit Roots in Autoregressive Models

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 9

Oct. 11 | Lecture 12: Dickey-Fuller Unit-Root Testing

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 9

Oct. 23 | Empirical Exercise 7: Unit Roots in Danish Macro Series

Resources 1

In-Class Activities 3

Oct. 24 | Lecture 13: Definition of Cointegration

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 7

Oct. 25 | Lecture 14: The Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Analyses

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 9

Oct. 30 | Empirical Exercise 8: A Cointegration Analysis for Danish Consumption

Preparations 1

Resources 4

In-Class Activities 8

Oct. 31 | Lecture 15: Empirical Examples and Comparison of the Engle-Granger and ADL Cointegration Approaches

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 5

Nov. 1 | Lecture 16: Review of Cointegration and Introduction to the Cointegrated VAR Model

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 6

Nov. 3 | Assignment 3: The Effects of Housing and Financial Wealth on Consumption

Nov. 6 | Theoretical Exercise 9: The ARCH Model

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 3

Nov. 7 | Lecture 17: The ARCH Model

Preparations 1

In-Class Activities and Resources 7